Pokémon Card 151 · #202/165 · Japanese

Blastoise ex (JP 151, SAR)

Chase PSA 10 PSA 10 ≈ 8.9× raw

Is the Blastoise ex (JP 151, SAR) worth grading?

Only as a PSA 10 chase. Positive EV (¥260) but it rides on a 30% top-grade rate — a chase, not a lock.

Est. grading cost¥8,000≈ $53
Expected value¥260≈ $2
Break-even graded¥10,800≈ $72

¥150 / $1 · as of 2026-06-29 · approx. · example/mock

Graded figures are recent sold medians from eBay; the raw value is the TCGplayer market price. As of 2026-06-28. example/mock data

Raw value

TCGplayer market basis

¥2,800 market≈ $19

Asking range ¥2,500–¥4,000 (≈ $17–$27) · 28 listings · as of 2026-06-28

¥150 / $1 · as of 2026-06-29 · approx. · example/mock

Graded snapshot

recent sold median · eBay sold basis
  • PSA 10 ¥25,000≈ $167 7 sold ↑ 8.9× raw
  • PSA 9 ¥6,000≈ $40 5 sold → 2.1× raw

sold median · n sold · as of 2026-06-28

¥150 / $1 · as of 2026-06-29 · approx. · example/mock

Grading premium: a PSA 10 sold for about 8.9× the raw card.

Run your own numbers

Estimates are editable — grading cost is never hardcoded into the verdict. example/mock data

¥150 / $1 · as of 2026-06-29 · approx. · example/mock

Grade-probability distribution

≈ 3 of 10 reach 10
  • 10 30% · ≈3/10
  • 9 50% · ≈5/10
  • ≤8 20% · ≈2/10
Expected value ¥260≈ $2
Break-even graded value ¥10,800≈ $72
Verdict Chase PSA 10

Positive EV (¥260) but it rides on a 30% top-grade rate — a chase, not a lock.

Batch & timing

Total invested¥10,800≈ $72
Total expected value¥260≈ $2
Aggregate ROI2%
Top-grade sales to recover1
Est. time to sell-through≈ 3 days

Sell-through time is a rough estimate from recent sold velocity — not a promise.

EN vs JP

English print

$24 raw

Japanese print

¥2,800 raw≈ $19

English counterpart is 151 SIR 200; completes the starter trio. (Blastoise ex SAR is sv2a #202 — not #200, which is Venusaur.)

¥150 / $1 · as of 2026-06-29 · approx. · example/mock

The reasoning

Same shape as its starter siblings: a strong PSA 10 ceiling on a ~30% gem rate makes it a chase, not a lock.

Full card-specific analysis renders here — written per card, never templated.