TCGplayer market · eBay sold as of

Scarlet ex · Japanese · #101/078

Keep raw

Is the Gardevoir ex (SAR) (Scarlet ex #101/078) worth grading?

No — keep it raw.

The PSA 10 premium over raw is slim. After the grading fee that's a losing trade — and a PSA 9 sells below raw, a clear loss. The value is already mostly in the raw card.

Expected value$-25.41
Break-even graded$202.71
Est. grading$20
Raw market$182.71

Where to buy

Graded figures are recent average sold prices from eBay; the raw value is the TCGplayer market price. Data as of 2026-07-04 · PPT + eBay sold

Raw value

TCGplayer market basis

$182.71 market

Acquisition range $0–$182.71 · 3 sellers · as of 2026-07-04

Graded snapshot

avg sold price · eBay sold basis
  • PSA 10 $220.85 36 sold ↑ 1.2× raw
  • PSA 9 $132.09 5 sold ↑ 0.7× raw

avg sold price · n sold · as of 2026-07-04

Grading premium: a PSA 10 sold for about 1.2× the raw card.

Run your own numbers

Estimates are editable — grading cost is never hardcoded into the verdict.

Grade-probability distribution

4 of 10 reach 10
  • 10 42% · ≈4/10 · +$18.14
  • ≤8 15% · ≈2/10 · −$17.72
  • 9 43% · ≈4/10 · −$70.62

≤8 payout uses the ungraded avg sold price

Expected value $-25.41
Break-even graded value $202.71
Verdict Keep raw

Probability-weighted value ($177.3) doesn't beat raw + grading ($202.71).

Thin market — this estimate rests on 36 PSA 10 sales in the last 677 days.

Batch & timing

Total invested$202.71
Total expected value$-25.41
Aggregate ROI-13%
Top-grade sales to recover1
Est. time to sell-through≈ 13 days

Sell-through time is a rough estimate from recent sold velocity — not a promise.

The reasoning

Liquidity makes it worse: very few raw copies listed — a thin, hard-to-source card where a small premium doesn't pay for the risk. Hold it raw.