Scarlet & Violet · #245

Gardevoir ex

Keep raw PSA 10 ≈ 3.6× raw

Probability-weighted value ($27.9) doesn't beat raw + grading ($31).

Est. grading cost$20
Expected value$-3.1
Break-even graded$31

Graded figures are recent sold medians from eBay; the raw value is the TCGplayer market price. As of 2026-06-28. example/mock data

Raw value

TCGplayer market basis

$11 market

Asking range $10–$18 · 62 listings · as of 2026-06-28

Graded snapshot

recent sold median · eBay sold basis
  • PSA 10 $40 10 sold → 3.6× raw
  • PSA 9 $22 6 sold ↓ 2.0× raw

sold median · n sold · as of 2026-06-28

Grading premium: a PSA 10 sold for about 3.6× the raw card.

Run your own numbers

Estimates are editable — grading cost is never hardcoded into the verdict. example/mock data

Grade-probability distribution

≈ 5 of 10 reach 10
  • 10 45% · ≈5/10
  • 9 35% · ≈3/10
  • ≤8 20% · ≈2/10
Expected value $-3.1
Break-even graded value $31
Verdict Keep raw

Probability-weighted value ($27.9) doesn't beat raw + grading ($31).

Batch & timing

Total invested$31
Total expected value$-3.1
Aggregate ROI-10%
Top-grade sales to recover1
Est. time to sell-through≈ 3 days

Sell-through time is a rough estimate from recent sold velocity — not a promise.

The reasoning

The grading fee eats the thin premium — keep it raw unless costs drop.

Full card-specific analysis renders here — written per card, never templated.