VSTAR Universe · #261 · Japanese

Giratina VSTAR (JP)

Worth grading PSA 10 ≈ 2.5× raw

Probability-weighted value clears raw + grading with EV ¥7,300 at a 40% top-grade rate.

Est. grading cost¥8,000
Expected value¥7,300
Break-even graded¥26,000

Graded figures are recent sold medians from eBay; the raw value is the TCGplayer market price. As of 2026-06-28. example/mock data

Raw value

TCGplayer market basis

¥18,000 market

Asking range ¥16,500–¥24,000 · 14 listings · as of 2026-06-28

Graded snapshot

recent sold median · eBay sold basis
  • PSA 10 ¥45,000 4 sold ↑ 2.5× raw
  • PSA 9 ¥28,000 3 sold → 1.6× raw

sold median · n sold · as of 2026-06-28

Grading premium: a PSA 10 sold for about 2.5× the raw card.

Run your own numbers

Estimates are editable — grading cost is never hardcoded into the verdict. example/mock data

Grade-probability distribution

≈ 4 of 10 reach 10
  • 10 40% · ≈4/10
  • 9 45% · ≈5/10
  • ≤8 15% · ≈1/10
Expected value ¥7,300
Break-even graded value ¥26,000
Verdict Worth grading

Probability-weighted value clears raw + grading with EV ¥7,300 at a 40% top-grade rate.

Batch & timing

Total invested¥26,000
Total expected value¥7,300
Aggregate ROI28%
Top-grade sales to recover1
Est. time to sell-through≈ 6 days

Sell-through time is a rough estimate from recent sold velocity — not a promise.

EN vs JP

English print

$122 raw

Japanese print

¥18,000 raw

The reasoning

A high-value gold alt where the premium covers the fee even at a 40% gem rate.

Full card-specific analysis renders here — written per card, never templated.