Pokémon Card 151 · #205/165 · Japanese

Mew ex (JP 151, SAR)

Chase PSA 10 PSA 10 ≈ 10.0× raw

Is the Mew ex (JP 151, SAR) worth grading?

Only as a PSA 10 chase. Positive EV (¥2,100) but it rides on a 30% top-grade rate — a chase, not a lock.

Est. grading cost¥8,000≈ $53
Expected value¥2,100≈ $14
Break-even graded¥11,000≈ $73

¥150 / $1 · as of 2026-06-29 · approx. · example/mock

Graded figures are recent sold medians from eBay; the raw value is the TCGplayer market price. As of 2026-06-28. example/mock data

Variant note: The SAR 205 — added alongside the kept UR 208 fixture (a distinct variant), per the "disambiguate by exact number" rule.

Raw value

TCGplayer market basis

¥3,000 market≈ $20

Asking range ¥2,700–¥4,500 (≈ $18–$30) · 30 listings · as of 2026-06-28

¥150 / $1 · as of 2026-06-29 · approx. · example/mock

Graded snapshot

recent sold median · eBay sold basis
  • PSA 10 ¥30,000≈ $200 8 sold ↑ 10.0× raw
  • PSA 9 ¥7,000≈ $47 6 sold → 2.3× raw

sold median · n sold · as of 2026-06-28

¥150 / $1 · as of 2026-06-29 · approx. · example/mock

Grading premium: a PSA 10 sold for about 10.0× the raw card.

Run your own numbers

Estimates are editable — grading cost is never hardcoded into the verdict. example/mock data

¥150 / $1 · as of 2026-06-29 · approx. · example/mock

Grade-probability distribution

3 of 10 reach 10
  • 10 30% · ≈3/10
  • 9 50% · ≈5/10
  • ≤8 20% · ≈2/10
Expected value ¥2,100≈ $14
Break-even graded value ¥11,000≈ $73
Verdict Chase PSA 10

Positive EV (¥2,100) but it rides on a 30% top-grade rate — a chase, not a lock.

Batch & timing

Total invested¥11,000≈ $73
Total expected value¥2,100≈ $14
Aggregate ROI19%
Top-grade sales to recover1
Est. time to sell-through≈ 3 days

Sell-through time is a rough estimate from recent sold velocity — not a promise.

EN vs JP

English print

$28 raw

Japanese print

¥3,000 raw≈ $20

The 205 SAR (special art) — distinct from the gold UR 208 also in this set. English counterpart is 151 SIR 193.

¥150 / $1 · as of 2026-06-29 · approx. · example/mock

The reasoning

A cheap raw card with a huge PSA 10 print — but only a ~30% gem rate carries it, so it is a chase on the 10, not a safe send.

Full card-specific analysis renders here — written per card, never templated.