Pokémon Card 151 · #208 · Japanese

Mew ex (JP 151)

Keep raw PSA 10 ≈ 4.5× raw

Probability-weighted value (¥4,850) doesn't beat raw + grading (¥10,000).

Est. grading cost¥8,000
Expected value¥-5,150
Break-even graded¥10,000

Graded figures are recent sold medians from eBay; the raw value is the TCGplayer market price. As of 2026-06-28. example/mock data

Raw value

TCGplayer market basis

¥2,000 market

Asking range ¥1,800–¥3,200 · 40 listings · as of 2026-06-28

Graded snapshot

recent sold median · eBay sold basis
  • PSA 10 ¥9,000 7 sold → 4.5× raw
  • PSA 9 ¥3,500 6 sold ↓ 1.8× raw

sold median · n sold · as of 2026-06-28

Grading premium: a PSA 10 sold for about 4.5× the raw card.

Run your own numbers

Estimates are editable — grading cost is never hardcoded into the verdict. example/mock data

Grade-probability distribution

3 of 10 reach 10
  • 10 30% · ≈3/10
  • 9 50% · ≈5/10
  • ≤8 20% · ≈2/10
Expected value ¥-5,150
Break-even graded value ¥10,000
Verdict Keep raw

Probability-weighted value (¥4,850) doesn't beat raw + grading (¥10,000).

Batch & timing

Total invested¥10,000
Total expected value¥-5,150
Aggregate ROI-51%
Top-grade sales to recover2
Est. time to sell-through≈ 7 days

Sell-through time is a rough estimate from recent sold velocity — not a promise.

EN vs JP

English print

$17 raw

Japanese print

¥2,000 raw

The reasoning

A ¥2,000 card against a ¥8,000 domestic fee — even a guaranteed PSA 10 wouldn’t clear it, so the odds say keep it raw.

Full card-specific analysis renders here — written per card, never templated.