VSTAR Universe · Japanese · #221/172

Keep raw

Is the Mewtwo VSTAR (Alt Art) (VSTAR Universe #221/172) worth grading?

No — keep it raw.

Probability-weighted value ($149.14) doesn't beat raw + grading ($161.25).

Expected value$-12.11
Break-even graded$161.25
Est. grading$20
Raw market$141.25

Where to buy

PSA 10 listings eBay PSA 9 listings eBay Raw eBay Market price TCGplayer

Graded figures are recent sold medians from eBay; the raw value is the TCGplayer market price. As of 2026-06-30. live · PPT + eBay sold

Raw value

TCGplayer market basis

$141.25 market

Acquisition range $0–$141.25 · 12 sellers · as of 2026-06-30

Graded snapshot

recent sold median · eBay sold basis
  • PSA 10 $167.99 129 sold ↑ 1.2× raw
  • PSA 9 $121.83 20 sold ↑ 0.9× raw

sold median · n sold · as of 2026-06-27

Grading premium: a PSA 10 sold for about 1.2× the raw card.

Run your own numbers

Estimates are editable — grading cost is never hardcoded into the verdict.

Grade-probability distribution

≈ 5 of 10 reach 10
  • 10 50% · ≈5/10
  • ≤8 15% · ≈2/10
  • 9 35% · ≈3/10
Expected value $-12.11
Break-even graded value $161.25
Verdict Keep raw

Probability-weighted value ($149.14) doesn't beat raw + grading ($161.25).

Batch & timing

Total invested$161.25
Total expected value$-12.11
Aggregate ROI-8%
Top-grade sales to recover1
Est. time to sell-through≈ 3 days

Sell-through time is a rough estimate from recent sold velocity — not a promise.

The reasoning

Honest don’t-grade: a high-population alt with only a ~1.6× PSA 10 premium — even a strong gem rate can’t beat the grading fee, so keep it raw.

Full card-specific analysis renders here — written per card, never templated.