Scarlet & Violet · #244

Miraidon ex

Worth grading PSA 10 ≈ 3.7× raw

Probability-weighted value clears raw + grading with EV $49.76 at a 55% top-grade rate.

Est. grading cost$20
Expected value$49.76
Break-even graded$58.5

Graded figures are recent sold medians from eBay; the raw value is the TCGplayer market price. As of 2026-06-28. example/mock data

Raw value

TCGplayer market basis

$38.5 market

Asking range $36–$55 · 31 listings · as of 2026-06-28

Graded snapshot

recent sold median · eBay sold basis
  • PSA 10 $142 8 sold ↑ 3.7× raw
  • PSA 9 $78 5 sold → 2.0× raw
  • CGC 10 $96 3 sold → 2.5× raw

sold median · n sold · as of 2026-06-28

Grading premium: a PSA 10 sold for about 3.7× the raw card.

Run your own numbers

Estimates are editable — grading cost is never hardcoded into the verdict. example/mock data

Grade-probability distribution

≈ 6 of 10 reach 10
  • 10 55% · ≈6/10
  • 9 32% · ≈3/10
  • ≤8 13% · ≈1/10
Expected value $49.76
Break-even graded value $58.5
Verdict Worth grading

Probability-weighted value clears raw + grading with EV $49.76 at a 55% top-grade rate.

Batch & timing

Total invested$58.5
Total expected value$49.76
Aggregate ROI85%
Top-grade sales to recover1
Est. time to sell-through≈ 4 days

Sell-through time is a rough estimate from recent sold velocity — not a promise.

EN vs JP

English print

$38.5 raw

Japanese print

¥5,400 raw

The reasoning

A 3.7× premium and healthy odds make this an easy send for the SIR chase.

Full card-specific analysis renders here — written per card, never templated.