Blue Sky Stream · #218 · Japanese

Rayquaza VMAX (Alt Art)

Worth grading PSA 10 ≈ 2.7× raw

Is the Rayquaza VMAX (Alt Art) worth grading?

Yes — worth grading. Probability-weighted value clears raw + grading with EV ¥3,520 at a 45% top-grade rate.

Est. grading cost¥8,000≈ $53
Expected value¥3,520≈ $23
Break-even graded¥20,000≈ $133

¥150 / $1 · as of 2026-06-29 · approx. · example/mock

Graded figures are recent sold medians from eBay; the raw value is the TCGplayer market price. As of 2026-06-28. example/mock data

Variant note: JP Blue Sky Stream 218 scan pending — art shown is the VSTAR Universe 108 reprint of the same illustration.

Raw value

TCGplayer market basis

¥12,000 market≈ $80

Asking range ¥11,000–¥16,000 (≈ $73–$107) · 15 listings · as of 2026-06-28

¥150 / $1 · as of 2026-06-29 · approx. · example/mock

Graded snapshot

recent sold median · eBay sold basis
  • PSA 10 ¥32,000≈ $213 10 sold ↑ 2.7× raw
  • PSA 9 ¥18,000≈ $120 5 sold → 1.5× raw

sold median · n sold · as of 2026-06-28

¥150 / $1 · as of 2026-06-29 · approx. · example/mock

Grading premium: a PSA 10 sold for about 2.7× the raw card.

Run your own numbers

Estimates are editable — grading cost is never hardcoded into the verdict. example/mock data

¥150 / $1 · as of 2026-06-29 · approx. · example/mock

Grade-probability distribution

5 of 10 reach 10
  • 10 45% · ≈5/10
  • 9 42% · ≈4/10
  • ≤8 13% · ≈1/10
Expected value ¥3,520≈ $23
Break-even graded value ¥20,000≈ $133
Verdict Worth grading

Probability-weighted value clears raw + grading with EV ¥3,520 at a 45% top-grade rate.

Batch & timing

Total invested¥20,000≈ $133
Total expected value¥3,520≈ $23
Aggregate ROI18%
Top-grade sales to recover1
Est. time to sell-through≈ 3 days

Sell-through time is a rough estimate from recent sold velocity — not a promise.

EN vs JP

English print

$110 raw

Japanese print

¥12,000 raw≈ $80

“JP ≈ 2× EN” is a community estimate — labeled, not asserted. English counterpart is Evolving Skies 218.

¥150 / $1 · as of 2026-06-29 · approx. · example/mock

The reasoning

A ~2.7× PSA 10 premium with a healthy gem rate clears the fee — the dragon alt that anchors the Sky Stream chase.

Full card-specific analysis renders here — written per card, never templated.