EN ↔ JP comparison · which version to grade

Grade the Japanese Venusaur ex, or the English one?

Which to grade: Both are ~30% PSA 10 chases. The Japanese 200 SAR has the larger ceiling (~10× on a ¥2,500 raw) but the same low odds; the English 198 SIR is a thinner ~3.2×. Chase the Japanese for upside, but expect a PSA 9 — which leaves little margin on either.

Side-by-side of the same card in both languages. Graded figures are recent sold medians (eBay); raw is the TCGplayer / market reference. Gem rates are labeled estimates. As of 2026-06-28. example/mock data

English Chase PSA 10
Venusaur ex (151) — English (Pokémon 151 #198/165)
Venusaur ex (151) — English (Pokémon 151 #198/165)

Pokémon 151 · #198/165 · Special illustration rare

Raw market
$22
PSA 10 sold
$70 · 11 sold ↑
Gem rate est.
≈ 30%
Break-even
$42
PSA 10 premium
3.2× raw
Expected value
$2.4

Positive EV ($2.4) but it rides on a 30% top-grade rate — a chase, not a lock.

No standalone page yet — English figures are reference/mock for this comparison.

Source: recent eBay sold · raw market · as of 2026-06-28 · example/mock

Run your own numbers — Japanese side

The cited answer above is static; this is the interactive tool for the Japanese print. The English side has its own calculator on its card page.

Run your own numbers

Estimates are editable — grading cost is never hardcoded into the verdict. example/mock data

Grade-probability distribution

≈ 3 of 10 reach 10
  • 10 30% · ≈3/10
  • 9 50% · ≈5/10
  • ≤8 20% · ≈2/10
Expected value ¥300
Break-even graded value ¥10,500
Verdict Chase PSA 10

Positive EV (¥300) but it rides on a 30% top-grade rate — a chase, not a lock.

Batch & timing

Total invested¥10,500
Total expected value¥300
Aggregate ROI3%
Top-grade sales to recover1
Est. time to sell-through≈ 3 days

Sell-through time is a rough estimate from recent sold velocity — not a promise.

← All EN ↔ JP comparisons